13 Jul · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1560
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Regush
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1509
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Regush rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (48)
Fair odds · Regush
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)