13 Jul · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1549
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Volkov
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1605
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolesnykov🌟Kolesnykov covers set handicap as underdog 69% (54)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H12-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)