13 Jul · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1466
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Shchegelskyi
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1505
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivasiv🌟Shchegelskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (47)
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H50-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.