13 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1451
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1506
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Stukalov covers set handicap as underdog 63% (93)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H25-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)