13 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleg Shvydkyi
ELO 1327
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Shvydkyi
VY
🇺🇦Viacheslav Yarovyi
ELO 1257
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Shvydkyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)