13 Jul · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1509
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Novak
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1505
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shchegelskyi🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 65% (51)
Fair odds · Novak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H25-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.