13 Jul · 10:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1425
FormLLLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Volkov
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1605
FormWWWWL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~72 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+180
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)