13 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1455
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mukhin
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1451
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Stukalov covers set handicap as underdog 63% (93)
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H18-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.