13 Jul · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1560
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Regush
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1514
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kovalchuk🌟Regush rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (48)
Fair odds · Regush
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)