13 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1455
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1506
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)