13 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1442
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klymenko
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1430
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Novakov
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.