13 Jul · 08:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1425
FormLLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1548
FormLLWLL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~73 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+123
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)