13 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1455
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mukhin
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1420
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.