13 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1320
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Shvydkyi
OS
🇺🇦Oleg Shvydkyi
ELO 1327
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Shvydkyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 29% · 3.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H1-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.