13 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1451
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stukalov
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1420
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
🌟Stukalov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (50)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.