13 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1751
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lushchyk
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1709
FormLWWLL
54%
46%
🌟Lushchyk stays under total as favourite 63% (65)
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H79-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.