13 Jul · 07:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1501
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pisa
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1499
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Pisa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (52)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H44-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.