13 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleg Shvydkyi
ELO 1327
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Novik
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1349
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Novik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.