13 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1457
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Plyska
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1369
FormLWLLW
59%
41%
🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (51)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)