13 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1442
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stukalov
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1451
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Klymenko🌟Stukalov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (50)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H15-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.