13 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1457
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plyska
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1447
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hanacek🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (51)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.