13 Jul · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1553
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Volkov
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1605
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Emets
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H6-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)