13 Jul · 09:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1477
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1498
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Lipeiko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.