13 Jul · 11:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1547
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1646
FormWWLWL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rochowanski🌟Rochowanski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (17)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)