13 Jul · 10:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1553
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Emets
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1548
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Emets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H18-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.