13 Jul · 10:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1474
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Lipeiko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1477
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Lipeiko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H26-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.