13 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1506
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Ovsiienko
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1430
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H13-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-4)