13 Jul · 11:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1536
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurtenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1498
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.