13 Jul · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1423
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lipeiko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1477
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
🌟Kovalenko stays under total as underdog 75% (20)
Fair odds · Lipeiko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)