13 Jul · 11:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1349
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Novik
VY
🇺🇦Viacheslav Yarovyi
ELO 1257
FormLLLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Novik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)