13 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1369
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hanacek
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1447
FormLWWLW
42%
58%
🌟Hanacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (44)
Fair odds · Hanacek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H14-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-13)