13 Jul · 15:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1593
FormLLWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Rak
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1466
FormLLLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Rak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)