13 Jul · 16:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1466
FormLLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1655
FormLWLLW
31%
69%
🌟Shcherbak stays under total as favourite 63% (139)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+189
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+189)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)