14 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1480
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1421
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H32-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-23)