14 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1507
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sideltsev
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Sideltsev
ELO 1582
FormLWLWL
42%
58%
⚡ Cover lean · Sideltsev🌟Pohorilyi stays under total as underdog 71% (35)
Fair odds · Sideltsev
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H9-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)