14 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AO
🇺🇦Andrii Obishchenko
ELO 1543
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1552
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 23% · 4.27· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.