14 Jul · 12:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇺🇦Marek Vyskocil
ELO 1612
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vyskocil
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Senk
ELO 1610
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Senk covers set handicap as underdog 79% (24)
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.