14 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1444
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1517
FormWWWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H32-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)