14 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1480
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ziakun
VZ
🇺🇦Viktor Ziakun
ELO 1561
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 23% · 4.27· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H4-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)