14 Jul · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1503
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Mejzlik
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1428
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Puk covers set handicap as underdog 67% (30)
Fair odds · Mejzlik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)