14 Jul · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1507
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Shulhachyk
PS
🇺🇦Pavlo Shulhachyk
ELO 1591
FormLWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Pohorilyi stays under total as underdog 71% (35)
Fair odds · Shulhachyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H17-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-13)