14 Jul · 08:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1473
FormWLWLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1670
FormWWLWW
30%
70%
🌟Shcherbak stays under total as favourite 63% (139)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
11%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+197
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)