14 Jul · 07:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1503
FormLWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Mejzlik
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1412
FormLLLLL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hanacek
Fair odds · Mejzlik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+91
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)