14 Jul · 08:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1574
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1587
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H23-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.