14 Jul · 07:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1568
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zeniuk
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1544
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Romaniak🌟Zeniuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (52)
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.