14 Jul · 11:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Marek Vyskocil
ELO 1612
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vyskocil
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1573
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
🌟Kocvara covers set handicap as underdog 72% (40)
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.