14 Jul · 12:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1544
FormLLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1670
FormWWLWW
37%
63%
🌟Shcherbak stays under total as favourite 63% (139)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+126
H2H28-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-24)