14 Jul · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AZ
🇺🇦Andrii Zeniuk
ELO 1696
FormWWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Zeniuk
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1544
FormLLLWL
66%
34%
🔥 Underdog lean · Romaniak🌟Romaniak covers set handicap as underdog 63% (113)
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+152
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)