14 Jul · 09:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1568
FormWWLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1736
FormLWWWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H22-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)