14 Jul · 09:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1554
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Strutinskiy
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1564
FormLWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (78)
Fair odds · Strutinskiy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H14-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.